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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.
BUF

BILLS · QB · #17

Josh Allen

bye Week 7 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at LA · Mon 8:15 PM · ESPN

21.6

floor 12.3 · ceiling 27.3 · half PPR

QB1Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at LA · Mon 8:15 PM · ESPN

21.6

12.3 to 27.3

QB1
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 21.6
  • Floor 12.3
  • Ceiling 27.3

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 21.6Half PPR 21.6PPR 21.66-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 30.5PASS YDS 222PASS TD 1.4INT 0.5RUSH 6.3 · 38RUSH TD 0.0

Std 21.6 · Half 21.6 · PPR 21.6. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON ALLEN, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 18.8, range 11.0 to 25.7, scored 35.7
  • Week 2: projected 18.5, range 11.4 to 26.0, scored 40.8
  • Week 3: projected 19.8, range 11.9 to 25.6, scored 19.0
  • Week 4: projected 20.6, range 12.7 to 25.5, scored 18.5
  • Week 5: projected 21.6, range 12.3 to 27.3, not yet played
  • Week 7: bye
2 of 4 Inside the band +9.1 Mean error +22.3, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

2 of 4 inside the band · mean error +9.1. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 5@LA21.6
  2. 6@LV-
  3. 7BYEno game
  4. 8BAL-
  5. 9@MIN-
  6. 10@NYJ-
  7. 11MIA-
  8. 12KC-
  9. 13@NE-
  10. 14@GB-
  11. 15CHI-
  12. 16@DEN-
  13. 17@MIA-
  14. 18NYJ-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB5, 9/15: QB3, 9/22: QB1, 9/24: QB1, 9/27: QB1, 9/29: QB1, 10/1: QB1, 10/4: QB1, 10/6: QB1, 10/8: QB1, 10/11: QB1

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB1J.AllenBUF21.6
  2. QB2T.LawrenceJAX18.0
  3. QB3B.PurdySF18.0
  4. QB4T.ShoughNO17.7
  5. QB5J.BurrowCIN17.6
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him K.Allen
TEAM
Bills · rating +6.1, 1st
LAST WEEK
vs NE · 18.5 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 5:36 PM ET · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6 · scored weekly against the official box score