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NO

SAINTS · QB · #6

Tyler Shough

bye Week 8 Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

17.7

floor 12.1 · ceiling 24.7 · half PPR

QB4Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

17.7

12.1 to 24.7

QB4
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 17.7
  • Floor 12.1
  • Ceiling 24.7

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 17.7Half PPR 17.7PPR 17.76-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 32.2PASS YDS 220PASS TD 1.0INT 0.6RUSH 3.6 · 18RUSH TD 0.0

Std 17.7 · Half 17.7 · PPR 17.7. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON SHOUGH, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 16.7, range 9.8 to 23.8, scored 25.2
  • Week 2: projected 17.1, range 12.5 to 23.8, scored 22.4
  • Week 3: projected 17.3, range 12.8 to 25.1, scored 27.8
  • Week 4: projected 18.9, range 13.7 to 24.8, scored 15.9
  • Week 5: projected 17.7, range 12.1 to 24.7, scored −0.2
  • Week 8: bye
2 of 5 Inside the band +0.7 Mean error −17.9, Week 5 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

2 of 5 inside the band · mean error +0.7. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5MIN17.7
  2. 6@NYG-
  3. 7PIT-
  4. 8BYEno game
  5. 9CLE-
  6. 10CAR-
  7. 11@CHI-
  8. 12@CIN-
  9. 13GB-
  10. 14@CAR-
  11. 15@TB-
  12. 16ARI-
  13. 17@ATL-
  14. 18TB-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB17, 9/15: QB8, 9/20: QB6, 9/22: QB6, 9/24: QB5, 9/27: QB5, 9/29: QB4, 10/1: QB4, 10/4: QB4, 10/5: QB4, 10/6: QB6, 10/8: QB5, 10/11: QB4

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB2T.LawrenceJAX18.0
  2. QB3B.PurdySF18.0
  3. QB4T.ShoughNO17.7
  4. QB5J.BurrowCIN17.6
  5. QB6C.WilliamsCHI17.6
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him S.Rattler
TEAM
Saints · rating −1.9, 23rd
LAST WEEK
vs ATL · 15.9 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score