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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.
SF

49ERS · QB · #13

Brock Purdy

bye Week 8 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at SEA · Sun 4:25 PM · Fox

18.0

floor 11.5 · ceiling 22.8 · half PPR

QB3Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at SEA · Sun 4:25 PM · Fox

18.0

11.5 to 22.8

QB3
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 18.0
  • Floor 11.5
  • Ceiling 22.8

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 18.0Half PPR 18.0PPR 18.06-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 30.6PASS YDS 221PASS TD 1.2INT 0.6RUSH 4.5 · 22RUSH TD 0.0

Std 18.0 · Half 18.0 · PPR 18.0. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON PURDY, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 17.6, range 10.0 to 24.2, scored 21.1
  • Week 2: projected 16.8, range 10.4 to 22.4, scored 28.5
  • Week 3: projected 18.5, range 10.0 to 23.5, scored 31.3
  • Week 4: projected 17.5, range 11.7 to 23.6, scored 19.6
  • Week 5: projected 18.0, range 11.5 to 22.8, result not published yet
  • Week 8: bye
2 of 4 Inside the band +7.5 Mean error +12.8, Week 3 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

2 of 4 inside the band · mean error +7.5. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 5@SEA18.0
  2. 6WAS-
  3. 7@ATL-
  4. 8BYEno game
  5. 9LV-
  6. 10@DAL-
  7. 11MIN-
  8. 12SEA-
  9. 13@NYG-
  10. 14LA-
  11. 15@LAC-
  12. 16@KC-
  13. 17PHI-
  14. 18@ARI-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB8, 9/15: QB7, 9/20: QB12, 9/22: QB2, 9/24: QB3, 9/27: QB3, 9/29: QB10, 10/1: QB10, 10/4: QB8, 10/6: QB3, 10/8: QB3, 10/11: QB3

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB1J.AllenBUF21.6
  2. QB2T.LawrenceJAX18.0
  3. QB3B.PurdySF18.0
  4. QB4T.ShoughNO17.7
  5. QB5J.BurrowCIN17.6
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him M.Jones
TEAM
49ers · rating +3.4, 6th
LAST WEEK
vs DEN · 19.6 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 4:19 PM ET · run 2026-05-reprice-6250de89 · scored weekly against the official box score