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CIN

BENGALS · QB · #9

Joe Burrow

bye Week 6 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at MIA · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

17.6

floor 12.1 · ceiling 24.0 · half PPR

QB5Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at MIA · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

17.6

12.1 to 24.0

QB5
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 17.6
  • Floor 12.1
  • Ceiling 24.0

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 17.6Half PPR 17.6PPR 17.66-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 31.8PASS YDS 217PASS TD 1.5INT 0.0RUSH 2.3 · 4RUSH TD 0.0

Std 17.6 · Half 17.6 · PPR 17.6. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON BURROW, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 18.6, range 10.8 to 23.8, scored 14.2
  • Week 2: projected 16.5, range 10.1 to 22.0, scored 16.2
  • Week 3: projected 17.3, range 11.4 to 23.7, scored 24.6
  • Week 4: projected 16.8, range 11.0 to 24.3, scored 23.7
  • Week 5: projected 17.6, range 12.1 to 24.0, scored 24.6
  • Week 6: bye
3 of 5 Inside the band +3.3 Mean error +7.3, Week 3 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 5 inside the band · mean error +3.3. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5@MIA17.6
  2. 6BYEno game
  3. 7@BAL-
  4. 8TEN-
  5. 9@ATL-
  6. 10PIT-
  7. 11@WAS-
  8. 12NO-
  9. 13@CLE-
  10. 14KC-
  11. 15@CAR-
  12. 16@IND-
  13. 17BAL-
  14. 18CLE-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB6, 9/15: QB6, 9/20: QB18, 9/22: QB5, 9/24: QB7, 9/27: QB6, 9/29: QB11, 10/1: QB11, 10/4: QB10, 10/6: QB7, 10/8: QB6, 10/11: QB5

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB3B.PurdySF18.0
  2. QB4T.ShoughNO17.7
  3. QB5J.BurrowCIN17.6
  4. QB6C.WilliamsCHI17.6
  5. QB7M.StaffordLA17.3
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him J.Flacco
TEAM
Bengals · rating −0.1, 18th
LAST WEEK
vs JAX · 23.7 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score