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LA

RAMS · QB · #9

Matthew Stafford

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM · ESPN

17.3

floor 11.7 · ceiling 25.5 · half PPR

QB7Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM · ESPN

17.3

11.7 to 25.5

QB7
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 17.3
  • Floor 11.7
  • Ceiling 25.5

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 17.3Half PPR 17.3PPR 17.36-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 35.8PASS YDS 265PASS TD 1.8INT 1.0RUSH 2.1 · 3RUSH TD 0.0

Std 17.3 · Half 17.3 · PPR 17.3. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON STAFFORD, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 15.0, range 9.8 to 22.9, scored 4.1
  • Week 2: projected 16.5, range 12.6 to 23.5, scored 27.0
  • Week 3: projected 16.5, range 11.4 to 23.9, scored 20.9
  • Week 4: projected 16.2, range 12.4 to 24.0, scored 9.7
  • Week 5: projected 17.3, range 11.7 to 25.5, not yet played
  • Week 11: bye
1 of 4 Inside the band −0.6 Mean error −10.9, Week 1 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

1 of 4 inside the band · mean error −0.6. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 5BUF17.3
  2. 6ARI-
  3. 7@LV-
  4. 8LAC-
  5. 9@WAS-
  6. 10@ARI-
  7. 11BYEno game
  8. 12GB-
  9. 13KC-
  10. 14@SF-
  11. 15DAL-
  12. 16@SEA-
  13. 17@TB-
  14. 18SEA-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB24, 9/15: QB32, 9/20: QB17, 9/21: QB17, 9/22: QB11, 9/24: QB12, 9/27: QB11, 9/29: QB14, 10/1: QB14, 10/4: QB13, 10/6: QB8, 10/8: QB7, 10/11: QB7

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB5J.BurrowCIN17.6
  2. QB6C.WilliamsCHI17.6
  3. QB7M.StaffordLA17.3
  4. QB8J.GoffDET17.2
  5. QB9J.BrissettARI17.0
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him S.Bennett
TEAM
Rams · rating +3.2, 7th
LAST WEEK
at PHI · 9.7 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 5:36 PM ET · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6 · scored weekly against the official box score