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CHI

BEARS · QB · #18

Caleb Williams

bye Week 10 Questionable · hamstring

WEEK 5 · at GB · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

17.6

floor 10.5 · ceiling 22.9 · half PPR

QB6▼ 0.1 since TuesdayNot published yet.

Questionable reported Sunday, after this projection was published.

Start or sit
Questionable · hamstring

WEEK 5 · at GB · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

17.6

10.5 to 22.9

QB6
▼ 0.1 since TueNot published yet. Start or sit

Questionable reported Sunday, after this projection was published.

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 17.6
  • Floor 10.5
  • Ceiling 22.9

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 17.6Half PPR 17.6PPR 17.66-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 31.2PASS YDS 235PASS TD 1.5INT 0.5RUSH 4.1 · 14RUSH TD 0.0

Std 17.6 · Half 17.6 · PPR 17.6. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON WILLIAMS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 19.4, range 12.8 to 23.9, scored 37.3
  • Week 2: projected 19.3, range 13.2 to 23.5, scored 7.7
  • Week 3: no projection on record
  • Week 4: no projection on record
  • Week 5: projected 17.6, range 10.5 to 22.9, no stat line
  • Week 10: bye
0 of 2 Inside the band +3.2 Mean error +17.9, Week 1 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

0 of 2 inside the band · mean error +3.2. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5@GB17.6
  2. 6@ATL-
  3. 7NE-
  4. 8@SEA-
  5. 9TB-
  6. 10BYEno game
  7. 11NO-
  8. 12@DET-
  9. 13JAX-
  10. 14@MIA-
  11. 15@BUF-
  12. 16GB-
  13. 17DET-
  14. 18@MIN-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB2, 9/15: QB9, 9/20: QB2, 9/22: QB8, 9/24: QB6, 9/27: not ranked, 9/28: not ranked, 9/29: QB8, 10/1: QB8, 10/4: not ranked, 10/6: QB5, 10/8: QB4, 10/11: QB6

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB4T.ShoughNO17.7
  2. QB5J.BurrowCIN17.6
  3. QB6C.WilliamsCHI17.6
  4. QB7M.StaffordLA17.3
  5. QB8J.GoffDET17.2
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him T.Bagent
TEAM
Bears · rating +0.6, 15th
LAST WEEK
vs NYJ · no stat line

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score