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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.
BUF

AFC EAST · 1ST

Buffalo Bills

3-1 · home 2-1 · away 1-0 · division 0-1

3-1 · home 2-1 · away 1-0

NEXT · WEEK 5 at LA Rams Mon Oct 12 · 8:15 PM ET · ESPN Mon Oct 12 · 8:15 PM · ESPN BUF 57% by 3 Open →
OUR RATING +6.1 1st of 32 · points better than an average team on a neutral field 1st of 32
PROJECTED WINS PROJ WINS - Not published yet.
PLAYOFFS - Not published yet.
WINS VS EXPECTATION WINS VS EXPECTED +0.5 3-1 where our numbers expected 2.5 wins. Positive is running hot; it tends to come back. 3-1, expected 2.5

OUR RATING, WEEK BY WEEK

WeekRating
Preseason+6.1
After week 1+6.2
After week 2+6.3
After week 3+6.5
After week 4+6.1

Points better than an average team on a neutral field. The preseason prior comes from last season and the offseason; the line starts moving after Week 1.

Points better than average, neutral field. Moves after each week.

PLAYOFF ODDS, WEEK BY WEEK

Not published yet.

SCHEDULE

Preseason games are never forecast
P2 vs CAR Panthers Sat Aug 15 not forecast W 29-14 P3 at CLE Browns Sat Aug 22 not forecast W 31-7 P4 vs PIT Steelers Thu Aug 27 not forecast W 28-27 1 at HOU Texans Sun Sep 13 BUF 55% · by 1 W 36-31 Hit 2 vs DET Lions Thu Sep 17 BUF 65% · by 6 W 41-31 Hit 3 vs LAC Chargers Sun Sep 27 BUF 65% · by 7 W 24-16 Hit 4 vs NE Patriots Sun Oct 4 BUF 63% · by 7 L 26-29 Miss 5 at LA Rams Mon Oct 12 · 8:15 BUF 57% · by 3 · Next → 6 at LV Raiders Sun Oct 18 · 4:25 BUF 61% · by 4 ·
Week 7, bye
8 vs BAL Ravens Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 BUF 58% · by 3 · 9 at MIN Vikings Mon Nov 9 · 8:15 BUF 52% · by 1 · 10 at NYJ Jets Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 BUF 60% · by 5 · 11 vs MIA Dolphins Sun Nov 22 · 1:00 BUF 76% · by 11 · 12 vs KC Chiefs Thu Nov 26 · 8:20 BUF 62% · by 7 · 13 at NE Patriots Sun Dec 6 · 4:25 BUF 56% · by 2 · 14 at GB Packers Sun Dec 13 · 8:20 BUF 60% · by 4 · 15 vs CHI Bears Sat Dec 19 · 8:20 BUF 68% · by 7 · 16 at DEN Broncos Fri Dec 25 · 4:30 BUF 52% · by 1 · 17 at MIA Dolphins Sun Jan 3 · 1:00 BUF 61% · by 7 · 18 vs NYJ Jets Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 BUF 72% · by 11 ·

SCHEDULE

P2 vs CAR Panthers Sat Aug 15 not forecast W 29-14 P3 at CLE Browns Sat Aug 22 not forecast W 31-7 P4 vs PIT Steelers Thu Aug 27 not forecast W 28-27 1 at HOU Texans Sun Sep 13 BUF 55% W 36-31 Hit 2 vs DET Lions Thu Sep 17 BUF 65% W 41-31 Hit 3 vs LAC Chargers Sun Sep 27 BUF 65% W 24-16 Hit 4 vs NE Patriots Sun Oct 4 BUF 63% L 26-29 Miss 5 at LA Rams Mon 8:15 PM BUF 57% · 6 at LV Raiders Sun Oct 18 BUF 61% ·
Week 7, bye
8 vs BAL Ravens Sun Nov 1 BUF 58% · 9 at MIN Vikings Mon Nov 9 BUF 52% · 10 at NYJ Jets Sun Nov 15 BUF 60% · 11 vs MIA Dolphins Sun Nov 22 BUF 76% · 12 vs KC Chiefs Thu Nov 26 BUF 62% · 13 at NE Patriots Sun Dec 6 BUF 56% · 14 at GB Packers Sun Dec 13 BUF 60% · 15 vs CHI Bears Sat Dec 19 BUF 68% · 16 at DEN Broncos Fri Dec 25 BUF 52% · 17 at MIA Dolphins Sun Jan 3 BUF 61% · 18 vs NYJ Jets Sun Jan 10 BUF 72% ·

SEASON, IF WE RAN IT 100 TIMES

Not published yet.

REMAINING SCHEDULE, HOW HARD

REMAINING SCHEDULE · 16TH HARDEST

16th hardest of 32 avg opponent rating +0.1
5 LA +3.2 · 57% 57%
6 LV −3.9 · 61% 61%
8 BAL +6.0 · 58% 58%
9 MIN +2.5 · 52% 52%
10 NYJ −5.2 · 60% 60%
11 MIA −1.4 · 76% 76%
12 KC +3.5 · 62% 62%
13 NE −1.3 · 56% 56%
14 GB +2.6 · 60% 60%
15 CHI +0.6 · 68% 68%
16 DEN +1.7 · 52% 52%
17 MIA −1.4 · 61% 61%
18 NYJ −5.2 · 72% 72%

Each tile: week, opponent, their rating, our number for BUF. Red border: games we currently lean against. Filled: 65% or better.

Week, opponent, our number for BUF. Red border: we lean against. Filled: 65% or better.

AFC EAST

BUF Bills 3-1 +6.1 - 3-1 · +6.1 NE Patriots 2-2 −1.3 - 2-2 · −1.3 NYJ Jets 1-3 −5.2 - 1-3 · −5.2 MIA Dolphins 0-4 −1.4 - 0-4 · −1.4 Whole conference →

INJURIES, AND WHAT THEY COST US

Ed Oliver DE DE OUT OUT
Josh Palmer WR WR OUT OUT
DJ Moore WR WR Q · shoulder Q
Dee Alford CB CB Q · ankle Q
Landon Jackson DE DE Q · knee Q

Impact, the rating change with that player out, is not published yet.

KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 5 PROJECTIONS

KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 5

J.Allen QB 21.6 QB1
J.Cook RB 14.2 RB3
K.Shakir WR 8.7 WR22
K.Coleman WR 6.2 WR43
D.Kincaid TE 6.8 TE14
Depth chart, 53 on the roster →

SEASON SO FAR

Points for / against per game 31.8 / 26.8
Point diff per game +5.0
Home · Away · Division 2-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Strength of schedule, remaining 16th

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 5:36 PM ET · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6