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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.
NE

AFC EAST · 2ND

New England Patriots

2-2 · home 1-0 · away 1-2 · division 1-0

2-2 · home 1-0 · away 1-2

NEXT · WEEK 6 vs NYJ Jets Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM · CBS NE 59% by 3 Open →
OUR RATING −1.3 21st of 32 · points better than an average team on a neutral field 21st of 32
PROJECTED WINS PROJ WINS - Not published yet.
PLAYOFFS - Not published yet.
WINS VS EXPECTATION WINS VS EXPECTED +0.2 2-2 where our numbers expected 1.8 wins. Positive is running hot; it tends to come back. 2-2, expected 1.8

OUR RATING, WEEK BY WEEK

WeekRating
Preseason−1.6
After week 1−1.5
After week 2−1.3
After week 3−1.6
After week 4−1.3

Points better than an average team on a neutral field. The preseason prior comes from last season and the offseason; the line starts moving after Week 1.

Points better than average, neutral field. Moves after each week.

PLAYOFF ODDS, WEEK BY WEEK

Not published yet.

SCHEDULE

Preseason games are never forecast
P2 vs IND Colts Thu Aug 13 not forecast T 13-13 P3 vs PHI Eagles Sat Aug 22 not forecast W 24-21 P4 at CLE Browns Thu Aug 27 not forecast L 13-37 1 at SEA Seahawks Wed Sep 9 NE 41% · by 3, SEA L 10-13 Hit 2 vs PIT Steelers Sun Sep 20 NE 61% · by 4 W 20-3 Hit 3 at JAX Jaguars Sun Sep 27 NE 40% · by 4, JAX L 6-35 Hit 4 at BUF Bills Sun Oct 4 NE 37% · by 7, BUF W 29-26 Miss 5 vs LV Raiders Sun Oct 11 NE 54% · by 2 W 45-17 Hit 6 vs NYJ Jets Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 NE 59% · by 3 · Next → 7 at CHI Bears Thu Oct 22 · 8:15 NE 39% · by 4, CHI · 8 at MIA Dolphins Sun Nov 1 · 4:25 NE 56% · by 2 · 9 vs GB Packers Sun Nov 8 · 4:25 NE 47% · by 1, GB · 10 at DET Lions Sun Nov 15 · 9:30 NE 38% · by 5, DET ·
Week 11, bye
12 at LAC Chargers Sun Nov 29 · 8:20 NE 50% · even · 13 vs BUF Bills Sun Dec 6 · 4:25 NE 44% · by 2, BUF · 14 vs MIN Vikings Thu Dec 10 · 8:15 NE 54% · by 1 · 15 at KC Chiefs Mon Dec 21 · 8:15 NE 45% · by 2, KC · 16 at NYJ Jets Sun Dec 27 · 1:00 NE 58% · by 2 · 17 vs DEN Broncos Sun Jan 3 · 1:00 NE 56% · by 2 · 18 vs MIA Dolphins Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 NE 62% · by 4 ·

SCHEDULE

P2 vs IND Colts Thu Aug 13 not forecast T 13-13 P3 vs PHI Eagles Sat Aug 22 not forecast W 24-21 P4 at CLE Browns Thu Aug 27 not forecast L 13-37 1 at SEA Seahawks Wed Sep 9 NE 41% L 10-13 Hit 2 vs PIT Steelers Sun Sep 20 NE 61% W 20-3 Hit 3 at JAX Jaguars Sun Sep 27 NE 40% L 6-35 Hit 4 at BUF Bills Sun Oct 4 NE 37% W 29-26 Miss 5 vs LV Raiders Sun Oct 11 NE 54% W 45-17 Hit 6 vs NYJ Jets Sun 1:00 PM NE 59% · 7 at CHI Bears Thu Oct 22 NE 39% · 8 at MIA Dolphins Sun Nov 1 NE 56% · 9 vs GB Packers Sun Nov 8 NE 47% · 10 at DET Lions Sun Nov 15 NE 38% ·
Week 11, bye
12 at LAC Chargers Sun Nov 29 NE 50% · 13 vs BUF Bills Sun Dec 6 NE 44% · 14 vs MIN Vikings Thu Dec 10 NE 54% · 15 at KC Chiefs Mon Dec 21 NE 45% · 16 at NYJ Jets Sun Dec 27 NE 58% · 17 vs DEN Broncos Sun Jan 3 NE 56% · 18 vs MIA Dolphins Sun Jan 10 NE 62% ·

SEASON, IF WE RAN IT 100 TIMES

Not published yet.

REMAINING SCHEDULE, HOW HARD

REMAINING SCHEDULE · 7TH HARDEST

7th hardest of 32 avg opponent rating +0.8
6 NYJ −5.2 · 59% 59%
7 CHI +0.6 · 39% 39%
8 MIA −1.4 · 56% 56%
9 GB +2.6 · 47% 47%
10 DET +5.5 · 38% 38%
12 LAC +0.2 · 50% 50%
13 BUF +6.1 · 44% 44%
14 MIN +2.5 · 54% 54%
15 KC +3.5 · 45% 45%
16 NYJ −5.2 · 58% 58%
17 DEN +1.7 · 56% 56%
18 MIA −1.4 · 62% 62%

Each tile: week, opponent, their rating, our number for NE. Red border: games we currently lean against. Filled: 65% or better.

Week, opponent, our number for NE. Red border: we lean against. Filled: 65% or better.

AFC EAST

BUF Bills 3-1 +6.1 - 3-1 · +6.1 NE Patriots 2-2 −1.3 - 2-2 · −1.3 NYJ Jets 1-3 −5.2 - 1-3 · −5.2 MIA Dolphins 0-4 −1.4 - 0-4 · −1.4 Whole conference →

INJURIES, AND WHAT THEY COST US

Mack Hollins WR WR OUT OUT
Carlton Davis III CB CB OUT OUT
Reggie Gilliam FB FB OUT OUT
Christian Gonzalez CB CB OUT OUT
Karon Prunty CB CB OUT OUT
Channing Canada CB CB OUT OUT
Morgan Moses T T Q · foot Q
Dre'Mont Jones LB LB Q · shoulder Q
Christian Elliss LB LB Q · chest Q
Rhamondre Stevenson RB RB Q · knee Q
Christian Barmore DT DT Q · shoulder Q
Charles Woods CB CB Q · shoulder Q
Craig Woodson S S Q · shoulder Q

Impact, the rating change with that player out, is not published yet.

KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 5 PROJECTIONS

KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 5

D.Maye QB 16.3 QB11
R.Stevenson RB 9.9 RB17
R.Doubs WR 6.3 WR39
E.Chism III WR 3.5 WR72
H.Henry TE 4.8 TE21
Depth chart, 54 on the roster →

SEASON SO FAR

Points for / against per game 16.2 / 19.2
Point diff per game −3.0
Home · Away · Division 1-0 · 1-2 · 1-0
Strength of schedule, remaining 7th

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 5:36 PM ET · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6