Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers, Week 4 2026 forecast

PIT 24 CLE 27 Final Final IND 30 WAS 13 Final Final ARI 24 NYG 36 Final Final DAL 34 HOU 30 Final Final GB 17 TB 14 Final Final JAX 22 CIN 17 Final Final LA 24 PHI 20 Final Final NE 29 BUF 26 Final Final NYJ 12 CHI 23 Final Final TEN 18 BAL 24 Final Final MIA 10 MIN 15 Final Final DEN 14 SF 24 Final Final KC 30 LV 27 Final Final LAC 23 SEA 30 Final Final DET 26 CAR 32 Final Final ATL 45 NO 24 Final Final

Broncos 2-1 14

DEN

14 FINAL 24

Sun Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET Sun Oct 4 Levi's Stadium

49ers 3-0 24

DEN 40%

SF 60%

Hit 60% at kickoff · SF by 4 60% at kickoff · SF by 4 Market closed SF -3 · O/U 48.5

Closing line from the market, shown for research. Not our number and not advice.

Games we called at 60 to 65%: 11 of 20 hit, this one included · Track record →

LINESCORE

Team1234OTT

DEN-----14

SF-----24

WHERE IT LANDED

We said SF by 4. It finished SF by 10.

DEN by 21tieSF by 26

Bar: 9 in 10 land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

Bar: 9 in 10 runs land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

BIGGEST SWINGS

Not published yet.

TOP PERFORMERS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

SF B.Purdy QB 17.5 → 19.6

SF D.Samuel Sr. WR 8.3 → 15.5

SF G.Kittle TE 7.8 → 15.0

Grey bar: what we projected. Tick: what they scored. Fantasy points, half PPR.

Fantasy points, half PPR.

WIN PROBABILITY, FIRST RUN TO FINAL

kickoff 60%

49ers Broncos

PLAYERS

PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL

B.Nix QB15 16.1 13.6

J.Dobbins RB27 8.3 6.2

C.Sutton WR29 7.5 0.9

R.Harvey RB32 6.5 14.3

E.Engram TE49 2.5 1.1

PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL

B.Purdy QB8 17.5 19.6

G.Kittle TE8 7.8 15.0

C.McCaffrey RB9 13.9 14.5

D.Samuel Sr. WR24 8.3 15.5

M.Jones QB41 1.1 -

Proj is what we published before kickoff. Actual is what they scored. Green when they beat the projection.

Week 4 · published Mon Oct 5 · 11:42 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-369ce090

Week 4 · published Mon Oct 5 · run 2026-04-reprice-369ce090

Broncos at 49ers, Week 4 2026