↑↓move ↵open escclose Players, teams and this week's games · type a position like "rb" for the list

Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.

PIT 24 CLE 27 Final Final IND 30 WAS 13 Final Final ARI 24 NYG 36 Final Final DAL 34 HOU 30 Final Final GB 17 TB 14 Final Final JAX 22 CIN 17 Final Final LA 24 PHI 20 Final Final NE 29 BUF 26 Final Final NYJ 12 CHI 23 Final Final TEN 18 BAL 24 Final Final MIA 10 MIN 15 Final Final DEN 14 SF 24 Final Final KC 30 LV 27 Final Final LAC 23 SEA 30 Final Final DET 26 CAR 32 Final Final ATL 45 NO 24 Final Final

Cowboys at Texans, Week 4 2026

Cowboys 1-2 34
DAL
34 FINAL 30
Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET Sun Oct 4 Reliant Stadium
HOU
Texans 0-3 30
DAL 52%
HOU 48%
Hit 52% at kickoff · DAL by 1 52% at kickoff · DAL by 1 Market closed HOU -3 · O/U 48.5

Closing line from the market, shown for research. Not our number and not advice.

Games we called at 50 to 55%: 14 of 23 hit, this one included · Track record →

LINESCORE

Team1234OTT
DAL-----34
HOU-----30

WHERE IT LANDED

We said DAL by 1. It finished DAL by 4.

DAL by 22tieHOU by 28

Bar: 9 in 10 land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

Bar: 9 in 10 runs land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

BIGGEST SWINGS

Not published yet.

TOP PERFORMERS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

DAL C.Lamb WR 11.1 → 32.8
DAL J.Williams RB 10.8 → 28.8
HOU N.Collins WR 10.3 → 27.3

Grey bar: what we projected. Tick: what they scored. Fantasy points, half PPR.

Fantasy points, half PPR.

WIN PROBABILITY, FIRST RUN TO FINAL

kickoff 52%
Texans Cowboys

PLAYERS

PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
C.Lamb WR7 11.1 32.8
D.Prescott QB12 16.2 18.1
G.Pickens WR17 9.4 8.5
J.Williams RB18 10.8 28.8
J.Ferguson TE23 4.7 2.6
PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
D.Schultz TE9 7.7 1.9
N.Collins WR10 10.3 27.3
C.Stroud QB11 16.4 23.1
W.Marks RB23 8.9 8.2
D.Montgomery RB24 8.9 2.4

Proj is what we published before kickoff. Actual is what they scored. Green when they beat the projection.

Week 4 · published Mon Oct 5 · 11:42 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-369ce090

Week 4 · published Mon Oct 5 · run 2026-04-reprice-369ce090