PIT 24 CLE 27 Final IND 30 WAS 13 Final ARI 24 NYG 36 Final DAL 34 HOU 30 Final GB 17 TB 14 Final JAX 22 CIN 17 Final LA 24 PHI 20 Final NE 29 BUF 26 Final NYJ 12 CHI 23 Final TEN 18 BAL 24 Final MIA 10 MIN 15 Final DEN 14 SF 24 Final KC 30 LV 27 Final LAC 23 SEA 30 Final DET 26 CAR 32 Final ATL 45 NO 24 Final
Falcons at Saints, Week 4 2026
Falcons 1-2 45
ATL 45 FINAL 24
Mon Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET Mon Oct 5 Caesars Superdome NO
Saints 1-2 24
ATL 38%
NO 62%
Miss 62% at kickoff · NO by 4 62% at kickoff · NO by 4 Market closed NO -1.5 · O/U 47.5
Closing line from the market, shown for research. Not our number and not advice.
Games we called at 60 to 65%: 11 of 20 hit, this one included · Track record →
LINESCORE
Team1234OTT
ATL-----45
NO-----24
WHERE IT LANDED
We said NO by 4. It finished ATL by 21.
ATL by 21tieNO by 28
Bar: 9 in 10 land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.
Bar: 9 in 10 runs land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.
BIGGEST SWINGS
Not published yet.
TOP PERFORMERS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL
ATL B.Robinson RB 15.5 → 27.2
NO A.Kamara RB 5.8 → 20.3
NO T.Shough QB 18.9 → 15.9
Grey bar: what we projected. Tick: what they scored. Fantasy points, half PPR.
Fantasy points, half PPR.
WIN PROBABILITY, FIRST RUN TO FINAL
kickoff 62%
Not published yet.
Not published yet.
Saints Falcons hover a node for the clock, score and both readings
Tap a node for the clock, score and both readings.
PLAYERS
PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
B.Robinson RB3 15.5 27.2
D.London WR12 10.1 12.1
K.Pitts TE18 6.2 6.2
M.Penix Jr. QB23 14.4 12.7
C.Rush QB33 7.0 -
PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
C.Olave WR3 13.3 15.6
T.Shough QB4 18.9 15.9
J.Johnson TE6 8.1 8.9
D.Vele WR30 7.5 14.4
A.Kamara RB36 5.8 20.3
Proj is what we published before kickoff. Actual is what they scored. Green when they beat the projection.
Week 4 · published Mon Oct 5 · 11:42 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-369ce090
Week 4 · published Mon Oct 5 · run 2026-04-reprice-369ce090