FALCONS · QB · #9
Michael Penix Jr.
WEEK 5 · vs BAL · Sun 8:20 PM · NBC
16.3
floor 9.2 · ceiling 21.6 · half PPR
WEEK 5 · vs BAL · Sun 8:20 PM · NBC
16.3
9.2 to 21.6
QB12HOW SURE, WEEK 5
- Projection 16.3
- Floor 9.2
- Ceiling 21.6
Not published yet.
Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.
THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT
Std 16.3 · Half 16.3 · PPR 16.3. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.
OUR RECORD ON PENIX JR., PROJECTED VS ACTUAL
- Week 1: projected 14.3, range 9.1 to 19.3, no stat line
- Week 2: no projection on record
- Week 3: projected 14.8, range 8.8 to 19.6, scored 12.0
- Week 4: projected 14.4, range 8.1 to 19.4, scored 12.7
- Week 5: projected 16.3, range 9.2 to 21.6, not yet played
- Week 11: bye
Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.
2 of 2 inside the band · mean error −2.2. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.
REST OF SEASON
13 games left
- 5BAL16.3
- 6CHI-
- 7SF-
- 8@TB-
- 9CIN-
- 10KC-
- 11BYEno game
- 12@MIN-
- 13DET-
- 14@CLE-
- 15@WAS-
- 16TB-
- 17NO-
- 18@CAR-
This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.
RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN
9/8: QB28, 9/15: QB25, 9/20: not ranked, 9/22: QB21, 9/24: QB22, 9/29: QB25, 10/1: QB25, 10/4: QB23, 10/5: QB23, 10/6: QB13, 10/8: QB12, 10/11: QB12
One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.
AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5
- QB10D.WatsonCLE16.5
- QB11D.MayeNE16.3
- QB12M.Penix Jr.ATL16.3
- QB13C.StroudHOU16.2
- QB14B.NixDEN16.2
CONTEXT
- DEPTH CHART
- QB1 · behind him T.Tagovailoa
- TEAM
- Falcons · rating −2.7, 24th
- THIS WEEK'S GAME
- ATL 44% vs BAL · open the game page
- LAST WEEK
- at NO · 12.7 pts
Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 5:36 PM ET · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6 · scored weekly against the official box score