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DEN

BRONCOS · QB · #10

Bo Nix

bye Week 10 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at LAC · Sun 4:05 PM · CBS

16.2

floor 10.8 · ceiling 20.7 · half PPR

QB14Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at LAC · Sun 4:05 PM · CBS

16.2

10.8 to 20.7

QB14
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 16.2
  • Floor 10.8
  • Ceiling 20.7

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 16.2Half PPR 16.2PPR 16.26-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 32.4PASS YDS 219PASS TD 1.0INT 0.4RUSH 4.3 · 12RUSH TD 0.0

Std 16.2 · Half 16.2 · PPR 16.2. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON NIX, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 16.0, range 10.9 to 23.7, scored 7.4
  • Week 2: projected 15.0, range 10.2 to 21.5, scored 14.1
  • Week 3: projected 16.2, range 12.8 to 22.2, scored 20.1
  • Week 4: projected 16.1, range 11.8 to 21.9, scored 13.6
  • Week 5: projected 16.2, range 10.8 to 20.7, result not published yet
  • Week 10: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band −2.0 Mean error −8.6, Week 1 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error −2.0. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5@LAC16.2
  2. 6SEA-
  3. 7@ARI-
  4. 8KC-
  5. 9@CAR-
  6. 10BYEno game
  7. 11LV-
  8. 12@PIT-
  9. 13MIA-
  10. 14@NYJ-
  11. 15@LV-
  12. 16BUF-
  13. 17@NE-
  14. 18LAC-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB11, 9/14: QB16, 9/15: QB17, 9/20: QB22, 9/22: QB13, 9/24: QB15, 9/27: QB14, 9/29: QB16, 10/1: QB16, 10/4: QB15, 10/6: QB15, 10/8: QB14, 10/11: QB14

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB12M.Penix Jr.ATL16.3
  2. QB13C.StroudHOU16.2
  3. QB14B.NixDEN16.2
  4. QB15D.PrescottDAL16.1
  5. QB16J.HurtsPHI16.1
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him J.Stidham
TEAM
Broncos · rating +1.7, 12th
LAST WEEK
at SF · 13.6 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 4:01 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-b5c95082 · scored weekly against the official box score