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DAL

COWBOYS · QB · #4

Dak Prescott

bye Week 14 Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs TB · Thu 8:15 PM · Prime Video

16.1

floor 11.6 · ceiling 23.9 · half PPR

QB15Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs TB · Thu 8:15 PM · Prime Video

16.1

11.6 to 23.9

QB15
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 16.1
  • Floor 11.6
  • Ceiling 23.9

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 16.1Half PPR 16.1PPR 16.16-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 35.8PASS YDS 238PASS TD 1.5INT 0.8RUSH 2.6 · 8RUSH TD 0.0

Std 16.1 · Half 16.1 · PPR 16.1. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON PRESCOTT, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 19.3, range 11.8 to 25.0, scored 14.4
  • Week 2: projected 16.8, range 10.3 to 24.0, scored 29.8
  • Week 3: projected 16.6, range 10.6 to 23.8, scored 16.9
  • Week 4: projected 16.2, range 11.1 to 23.4, scored 18.1
  • Week 5: projected 16.1, range 11.6 to 23.9, scored 12.6
  • Week 14: bye
4 of 5 Inside the band +1.4 Mean error +13.0, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

4 of 5 inside the band · mean error +1.4. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5TB16.1
  2. 6@GB-
  3. 7@PHI-
  4. 8ARI-
  5. 9@IND-
  6. 10SF-
  7. 11TEN-
  8. 12PHI-
  9. 13@SEA-
  10. 14BYEno game
  11. 15@LA-
  12. 16JAX-
  13. 17NYG-
  14. 18@WAS-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB3, 9/15: QB4, 9/20: QB11, 9/22: QB12, 9/24: QB11, 9/27: QB10, 9/29: QB13, 10/1: QB13, 10/4: QB12, 10/6: QB16, 10/8: QB15

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB13C.StroudHOU16.2
  2. QB14B.NixDEN16.2
  3. QB15D.PrescottDAL16.1
  4. QB16J.HurtsPHI16.1
  5. QB17J.HerbertLAC15.9
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him S.Howell
TEAM
Cowboys · rating −0.6, 20th
LAST WEEK
at HOU · 18.1 pts

Week 5 · published Thu Oct 8 · 8:11 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-fbe86ad2 · scored weekly against the official box score