↑↓move ↵open escclose Players, teams and this week's games · type a position like "rb" for the list

Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.

LAC

CHARGERS · QB · #10

Justin Herbert

bye Week 7 Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs DEN · Sun 4:05 PM · CBS

15.9

floor 10.8 · ceiling 22.2 · half PPR

QB17Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs DEN · Sun 4:05 PM · CBS

15.9

10.8 to 22.2

QB17
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 15.9
  • Floor 10.8
  • Ceiling 22.2

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 15.9Half PPR 15.9PPR 15.96-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 28.3PASS YDS 206PASS TD 1.1INT 0.1RUSH 5.1 · 23RUSH TD 0.0

Std 15.9 · Half 15.9 · PPR 15.9. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON HERBERT, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 16.9, range 9.0 to 21.6, scored 13.3
  • Week 2: projected 16.9, range 10.4 to 23.6, scored 7.9
  • Week 3: projected 15.9, range 10.0 to 22.4, scored 12.7
  • Week 4: projected 13.9, range 9.3 to 19.2, scored 11.6
  • Week 5: projected 15.9, range 10.8 to 22.2, result not published yet
  • Week 7: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band −4.5 Mean error −9.0, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error −4.5. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5DEN15.9
  2. 6@KC-
  3. 7BYEno game
  4. 8@LA-
  5. 9HOU-
  6. 10@BAL-
  7. 11NYJ-
  8. 12NE-
  9. 13@TB-
  10. 14@LV-
  11. 15SF-
  12. 16@MIA-
  13. 17KC-
  14. 18@DEN-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB12, 9/15: QB19, 9/20: QB10, 9/22: QB17, 9/24: QB18, 9/27: QB17, 9/29: QB31, 10/1: QB31, 10/4: QB29, 10/6: QB18, 10/8: QB17, 10/11: QB17

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB15D.PrescottDAL16.1
  2. QB16J.HurtsPHI16.1
  3. QB17J.HerbertLAC15.9
  4. QB18A.RodgersPIT15.7
  5. QB19K.CousinsLV15.2
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him D.Uiagalelei
TEAM
Chargers · rating +0.2, 16th
LAST WEEK
at SEA · 11.6 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 4:01 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-b5c95082 · scored weekly against the official box score