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HOU

TEXANS · QB · #7

C.J. Stroud

bye Week 8 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at TEN · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

16.2

floor 10.7 · ceiling 21.0 · half PPR

QB13Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at TEN · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

16.2

10.7 to 21.0

QB13
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 16.2
  • Floor 10.7
  • Ceiling 21.0

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 16.2Half PPR 16.2PPR 16.26-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 31.6PASS YDS 213PASS TD 1.6INT 0.0RUSH 2.4 · 5RUSH TD 0.0

Std 16.2 · Half 16.2 · PPR 16.2. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON STROUD, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 16.6, range 9.6 to 22.7, scored 20.5
  • Week 2: projected 16.6, range 10.5 to 23.1, scored 17.0
  • Week 3: projected 16.0, range 11.5 to 24.2, scored 11.7
  • Week 4: projected 16.4, range 11.2 to 21.9, scored 23.1
  • Week 5: projected 16.2, range 10.7 to 21.0, scored 20.9
  • Week 8: bye
4 of 5 Inside the band +2.3 Mean error +6.7, Week 4 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

4 of 5 inside the band · mean error +2.3. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5@TEN16.2
  2. 6@JAX-
  3. 7NYG-
  4. 8BYEno game
  5. 9@LAC-
  6. 10@CLE-
  7. 11IND-
  8. 12BAL-
  9. 13@PIT-
  10. 14@WAS-
  11. 15JAX-
  12. 16@PHI-
  13. 17@GB-
  14. 18TEN-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB18, 9/15: QB13, 9/20: QB16, 9/22: QB19, 9/24: QB16, 9/27: QB15, 9/29: QB12, 10/1: QB12, 10/4: QB11, 10/6: QB14, 10/8: QB13, 10/11: QB13

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB11D.MayeNE16.3
  2. QB12M.Penix Jr.ATL16.3
  3. QB13C.StroudHOU16.2
  4. QB14B.NixDEN16.2
  5. QB15D.PrescottDAL16.1
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him D.Mills
TEAM
Texans · rating +2.2, 11th
LAST WEEK
vs DAL · 23.1 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score