ATL
NEXT · WEEK 5 vs BAL Ravens Sun Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET · NBC Sun Oct 11 · 8:20 PM · NBC ATL 44% by 2, BAL Open → NFC SOUTH · T-1ST
Atlanta Falcons
2-2 · home 0-1 · away 2-1 · division 1-1
2-2 · home 0-1 · away 2-1
OUR RATING −2.7 24th of 32 · points better than an average team on a neutral field 24th of 32
PROJECTED WINS PROJ WINS - Not published yet.
PLAYOFFS - Not published yet.
WINS VS EXPECTATION WINS VS EXPECTED +0.2 2-2 where our numbers expected 1.8 wins. Positive is running hot; it tends to come back. 2-2, expected 1.8
PLAYOFF ODDS, WEEK BY WEEK
Not published yet.
SCHEDULE
Preseason games are never forecast Week 11, bye
12 at MIN Vikings Sun Nov 29 · 1:00 ATL 47% · by 1, MIN · 13 vs DET Lions Sun Dec 6 · 1:00 ATL 49% · by 1, DET · 14 at CLE Browns Sun Dec 13 · 1:00 ATL 47% · by 2, CLE · 15 at WAS Commanders Sun Dec 20 · 1:00 ATL 40% · by 3, WAS · 16 vs TB Buccaneers Sun Dec 27 · 1:00 ATL 56% · by 2 · 17 vs NO Saints Sun Jan 3 · 1:00 ATL 57% · by 2 · 18 at CAR Panthers Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 ATL 43% · by 2, CAR · SCHEDULE
Week 11, bye
12 at MIN Vikings Sun Nov 29 ATL 47% · 13 vs DET Lions Sun Dec 6 ATL 49% · 14 at CLE Browns Sun Dec 13 ATL 47% · 15 at WAS Commanders Sun Dec 20 ATL 40% · 16 vs TB Buccaneers Sun Dec 27 ATL 56% · 17 vs NO Saints Sun Jan 3 ATL 57% · 18 at CAR Panthers Sun Jan 10 ATL 43% · SEASON, IF WE RAN IT 100 TIMES
Not published yet.
REMAINING SCHEDULE, HOW HARD
REMAINING SCHEDULE · 11TH HARDEST
11th hardest of 32 avg opponent rating +0.6
5 BAL +6.0 · 44% 44%
6 CHI +0.6 · 55% 55%
7 SF +3.4 · 48% 48%
8 TB +1.0 · 45% 45%
9 CIN −0.1 · 47% 47%
10 KC +3.5 · 52% 52%
12 MIN +2.5 · 47% 47%
13 DET +5.5 · 49% 49%
14 CLE −4.2 · 47% 47%
15 WAS −3.4 · 40% 40%
16 TB +1.0 · 56% 56%
17 NO −1.9 · 57% 57%
18 CAR −6.4 · 43% 43%
Each tile: week, opponent, their rating, our number for ATL. Red border: games we currently lean against. Filled: 65% or better.
Week, opponent, our number for ATL. Red border: we lean against. Filled: 65% or better.
NFC SOUTH
ATL Falcons 2-2 - 2-2 · −2.7 CAR Panthers 2-2 - 2-2 · −6.4 NO Saints 1-3 - 1-3 · −1.9 TB Buccaneers 0-4 - 0-4 · +1.0 Whole conference →INJURIES, AND WHAT THEY COST US
Yasir Abdullah LB LB OUT OUT
Jake Matthews T T Q · groin Q
Za'Darius Smith DE DE Q · concussion Q
Samson Ebukam DE DE Q · hamstring Q
Divine Deablo LB LB Q · hamstring Q
Impact, the rating change with that player out, is not published yet.
KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 5 PROJECTIONS
KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 5
M.Penix Jr. QB 16.3 QB12
B.Robinson RB 15.6 RB1
D.London WR 11.0 WR8
J.Dotson WR 3.2 WR82
K.Pitts TE 6.4 TE18
Depth chart, 55 on the roster → SEASON SO FAR
Points for / against per game 24.0 / 23.0
Point diff per game +1.0
Home · Away · Division 0-1 · 2-1 · 1-1
Strength of schedule, remaining 11th
Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 5:36 PM ET · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6
Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6