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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.
CLE

BROWNS · QB · #4

Deshaun Watson

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

16.5

floor 9.9 · ceiling 22.0 · half PPR

QB10Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

16.5

9.9 to 22.0

QB10
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 16.5
  • Floor 9.9
  • Ceiling 22.0

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 16.5Half PPR 16.5PPR 16.56-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 30.8PASS YDS 228PASS TD 1.1INT 0.5RUSH 6.4 · 23RUSH TD 0.0

Std 16.5 · Half 16.5 · PPR 16.5. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON WATSON, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: no projection on record
  • Week 2: projected 14.8, range 9.1 to 20.5, scored 19.7
  • Week 3: projected 16.4, range 10.0 to 20.8, scored 18.3
  • Week 4: projected 15.9, range 9.9 to 20.7, scored 14.9
  • Week 5: projected 16.5, range 9.9 to 22.0, scored 14.2
  • Week 11: bye
4 of 4 Inside the band +0.9 Mean error none yet Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

4 of 4 inside the band · mean error +0.9. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5@NYJ16.5
  2. 6BAL-
  3. 7@TEN-
  4. 8@PIT-
  5. 9@NO-
  6. 10HOU-
  7. 11BYEno game
  8. 12LV-
  9. 13CIN-
  10. 14ATL-
  11. 15@NYG-
  12. 16@BAL-
  13. 17IND-
  14. 18@CIN-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: not ranked, 9/15: not ranked, 9/20: QB24, 9/22: QB14, 9/24: QB13, 9/27: QB12, 9/29: QB17, 10/1: QB17, 10/6: QB11, 10/8: QB10, 10/11: QB10

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB8J.GoffDET17.2
  2. QB9J.BrissettARI17.0
  3. QB10D.WatsonCLE16.5
  4. QB11D.MayeNE16.3
  5. QB12M.Penix Jr.ATL16.3
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him S.Sanders
TEAM
Browns · rating −4.2, 28th
LAST WEEK
vs PIT · 14.9 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score