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CLE

AFC NORTH · T-1ST

Cleveland Browns

3-1 · home 2-0 · away 1-1 · division 1-0

3-1 · home 2-0 · away 1-1

NEXT · WEEK 6 vs BAL Ravens Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET · Fox Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM · Fox CLE 44% by 2, BAL Open →
OUR RATING −4.2 28th of 32 · points better than an average team on a neutral field 28th of 32
PROJECTED WINS PROJ WINS - Not published yet.
PLAYOFFS - Not published yet.
WINS VS EXPECTATION WINS VS EXPECTED +1.2 3-1 where our numbers expected 1.8 wins. Positive is running hot; it tends to come back. 3-1, expected 1.8

OUR RATING, WEEK BY WEEK

WeekRating
Preseason−3.8
After week 1−4.0
After week 2−3.9
After week 3−4.2
After week 4−4.2

Points better than an average team on a neutral field. The preseason prior comes from last season and the offseason; the line starts moving after Week 1.

Points better than average, neutral field. Moves after each week.

PLAYOFF ODDS, WEEK BY WEEK

Not published yet.

SCHEDULE

Preseason games are never forecast
P2 at CHI Bears Sat Aug 15 not forecast L 10-34 P3 vs BUF Bills Sat Aug 22 not forecast L 7-31 P4 vs NE Patriots Thu Aug 27 not forecast W 37-13 1 at JAX Jaguars Sun Sep 13 CLE 33% · by 8, JAX L 10-34 Hit 2 at TB Buccaneers Sun Sep 20 CLE 42% · by 4, TB W 23-19 Miss 3 vs CAR Panthers Sun Sep 27 CLE 46% · by 1, CAR W 21-18 Miss 4 vs PIT Steelers Thu Oct 1 CLE 57% · by 2 W 27-24 Hit 5 at NYJ Jets Sun Oct 11 CLE 55% · by 1 L 12-17 Miss 6 vs BAL Ravens Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 CLE 44% · by 2, BAL · Next → 7 at TEN Titans Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 CLE 51% · even · 8 at PIT Steelers Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 CLE 41% · by 3, PIT · 9 at NO Saints Sun Nov 8 · 1:00 CLE 41% · by 3, NO · 10 vs HOU Texans Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 CLE 47% · by 1, HOU ·
Week 11, bye
12 vs LV Raiders Sun Nov 29 · 1:00 CLE 56% · by 3 · 13 vs CIN Bengals Sun Dec 6 · 1:00 CLE 43% · by 3, CIN · 14 vs ATL Falcons Sun Dec 13 · 1:00 CLE 53% · by 2 · 15 at NYG Giants Sun Dec 20 · 1:00 CLE 41% · by 4, NYG · 16 at BAL Ravens Sun Dec 27 · 1:00 CLE 31% · by 8, BAL · 17 vs IND Colts Sun Jan 3 · 1:00 CLE 51% · even · 18 at CIN Bengals Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 CLE 35% · by 7, CIN ·

SCHEDULE

P2 at CHI Bears Sat Aug 15 not forecast L 10-34 P3 vs BUF Bills Sat Aug 22 not forecast L 7-31 P4 vs NE Patriots Thu Aug 27 not forecast W 37-13 1 at JAX Jaguars Sun Sep 13 CLE 33% L 10-34 Hit 2 at TB Buccaneers Sun Sep 20 CLE 42% W 23-19 Miss 3 vs CAR Panthers Sun Sep 27 CLE 46% W 21-18 Miss 4 vs PIT Steelers Thu Oct 1 CLE 57% W 27-24 Hit 5 at NYJ Jets Sun Oct 11 CLE 55% L 12-17 Miss 6 vs BAL Ravens Sun 1:00 PM CLE 44% · 7 at TEN Titans Sun Oct 25 CLE 51% · 8 at PIT Steelers Sun Nov 1 CLE 41% · 9 at NO Saints Sun Nov 8 CLE 41% · 10 vs HOU Texans Sun Nov 15 CLE 47% ·
Week 11, bye
12 vs LV Raiders Sun Nov 29 CLE 56% · 13 vs CIN Bengals Sun Dec 6 CLE 43% · 14 vs ATL Falcons Sun Dec 13 CLE 53% · 15 at NYG Giants Sun Dec 20 CLE 41% · 16 at BAL Ravens Sun Dec 27 CLE 31% · 17 vs IND Colts Sun Jan 3 CLE 51% · 18 at CIN Bengals Sun Jan 10 CLE 35% ·

SEASON, IF WE RAN IT 100 TIMES

Not published yet.

REMAINING SCHEDULE, HOW HARD

REMAINING SCHEDULE · 23RD HARDEST

23rd hardest of 32 avg opponent rating −0.5
6 BAL +6.0 · 44% 44%
7 TEN −6.5 · 51% 51%
8 PIT 0.0 · 41% 41%
9 NO −1.9 · 41% 41%
10 HOU +2.2 · 47% 47%
12 LV −3.9 · 56% 56%
13 CIN −0.1 · 43% 43%
14 ATL −2.7 · 53% 53%
15 NYG −4.6 · 41% 41%
16 BAL +6.0 · 31% 31%
17 IND −0.6 · 51% 51%
18 CIN −0.1 · 35% 35%

Each tile: week, opponent, their rating, our number for CLE. Red border: games we currently lean against. Filled: 65% or better.

Week, opponent, our number for CLE. Red border: we lean against. Filled: 65% or better.

AFC NORTH

BAL Ravens 3-1 +6.0 - 3-1 · +6.0 CLE Browns 3-1 −4.2 - 3-1 · −4.2 PIT Steelers 2-2 0.0 - 2-2 · 0.0 CIN Bengals 2-2 −0.1 - 2-2 · −0.1 Whole conference →

INJURIES, AND WHAT THEY COST US

Tylan Wallace WR WR OUT OUT
Teven Jenkins G G OUT OUT
Kalia Davis DT DT OUT OUT
Mike Hall Jr. DT DT OUT OUT
Mason Graham DT DT OUT OUT
Dillon Gabriel QB QB OUT OUT
Carsen Ryan TE TE OUT OUT

Impact, the rating change with that player out, is not published yet.

KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 5 PROJECTIONS

KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 5

D.Watson QB 16.5 QB10
Q.Judkins RB 9.7 RB19
K.Concepcion WR 9.2 WR15
D.Boston WR 7.6 WR28
H.Fannin Jr. TE 8.2 TE6
Depth chart, 55 on the roster →

SEASON SO FAR

Points for / against per game 20.2 / 23.8
Point diff per game −3.6
Home · Away · Division 2-0 · 1-1 · 1-0
Strength of schedule, remaining 23rd

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 5:36 PM ET · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6