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NYJ

JETS · QB · #7

Geno Smith

bye Week 13 Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

14.4

floor 7.1 · ceiling 19.2 · half PPR

QB23Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

14.4

7.1 to 19.2

QB23
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 14.4
  • Floor 7.1
  • Ceiling 19.2

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 14.4Half PPR 14.4PPR 14.46-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 28.5PASS YDS 205PASS TD 0.8INT 0.2RUSH 2.3 · 4RUSH TD 0.0

Std 14.4 · Half 14.4 · PPR 14.4. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON SMITH, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 14.2, range 6.9 to 18.1, scored 9.3
  • Week 2: projected 14.9, range 7.6 to 19.9, scored 15.6
  • Week 3: projected 14.6, range 8.0 to 19.0, scored 26.0
  • Week 4: projected 14.9, range 8.3 to 19.1, scored 8.8
  • Week 5: projected 14.4, range 7.1 to 19.2, scored 12.0
  • Week 13: bye
4 of 5 Inside the band −0.2 Mean error +11.4, Week 3 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

4 of 5 inside the band · mean error −0.2. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5CLE14.4
  2. 6@NE-
  3. 7MIA-
  4. 8LV-
  5. 9@KC-
  6. 10BUF-
  7. 11@LAC-
  8. 12@MIA-
  9. 13BYEno game
  10. 14DEN-
  11. 15@ARI-
  12. 16NE-
  13. 17MIN-
  14. 18@BUF-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB31, 9/15: QB33, 9/20: QB23, 9/22: QB23, 9/24: QB24, 9/27: QB23, 9/29: QB23, 10/1: QB23, 10/4: QB21, 10/6: QB24, 10/8: QB23, 10/11: QB23

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB21S.DarnoldSEA14.8
  2. QB22D.JonesIND14.4
  3. QB23G.SmithNYJ14.4
  4. QB24K.MurrayMIN14.4
  5. QB25M.WillisMIA14.4
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him C.Klubnik
TEAM
Jets · rating −5.2, 30th
LAST WEEK
at CHI · 8.8 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score