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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.
MIN

VIKINGS · QB · #1

Kyler Murray

bye Week 6 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at NO · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

14.4

floor 8.1 · ceiling 21.4 · half PPR

QB24Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at NO · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

14.4

8.1 to 21.4

QB24
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 14.4
  • Floor 8.1
  • Ceiling 21.4

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 14.4Half PPR 14.4PPR 14.46-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 31.8PASS YDS 217PASS TD 1.3INT 0.5RUSH 3.8 · 18RUSH TD 0.0

Std 14.4 · Half 14.4 · PPR 14.4. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON MURRAY, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 20.1, range 13.6 to 27.0, scored −0.4
  • Week 2: no projection on record
  • Week 3: projected 7.1, range 0.6 to 18.1, scored 10.4
  • Week 4: projected 14.4, range 7.5 to 21.9, scored 11.5
  • Week 5: projected 14.4, range 8.1 to 21.4, scored 18.3
  • Week 6: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band −4.0 Mean error −20.5, Week 1 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error −4.0. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5@NO14.4
  2. 6BYEno game
  3. 7IND-
  4. 8@DET-
  5. 9BUF-
  6. 10@GB-
  7. 11@SF-
  8. 12ATL-
  9. 13CAR-
  10. 14@NE-
  11. 15DET-
  12. 16WAS-
  13. 17@NYJ-
  14. 18CHI-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB1, 9/15: QB2, 9/20: not ranked, 9/22: QB37, 9/24: QB37, 9/27: QB35, 9/29: QB24, 10/1: QB24, 10/4: QB22, 10/6: QB25, 10/8: QB24, 10/11: QB24

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB22D.JonesIND14.4
  2. QB23G.SmithNYJ14.4
  3. QB24K.MurrayMIN14.4
  4. QB25M.WillisMIA14.4
  5. QB26C.WardTEN14.0
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him C.Wentz
TEAM
Vikings · rating +2.5, 10th
LAST WEEK
vs MIA · 11.5 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score