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IND

COLTS · QB · #17

Daniel Jones

bye Week 13 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at PIT · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

14.4

floor 8.6 · ceiling 20.2 · half PPR

QB22Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at PIT · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

14.4

8.6 to 20.2

QB22
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 14.4
  • Floor 8.6
  • Ceiling 20.2

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 14.4Half PPR 14.4PPR 14.46-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 32.5PASS YDS 229PASS TD 1.2INT 0.4RUSH 2.5 · 4RUSH TD 0.0

Std 14.4 · Half 14.4 · PPR 14.4. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON JONES, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 15.1, range 9.4 to 21.5, scored 9.0
  • Week 2: projected 13.8, range 8.4 to 20.2, scored 11.4
  • Week 3: projected 13.6, range 8.1 to 19.8, scored 11.9
  • Week 4: projected 15.2, range 8.7 to 21.4, scored 9.9
  • Week 5: projected 14.4, range 8.6 to 20.2, scored 11.1
  • Week 13: bye
4 of 5 Inside the band −3.8 Mean error −6.1, Week 1 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

4 of 5 inside the band · mean error −3.8. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5@PIT14.4
  2. 6TEN-
  3. 7@MIN-
  4. 8@JAX-
  5. 9DAL-
  6. 10MIA-
  7. 11@HOU-
  8. 12NYG-
  9. 13BYEno game
  10. 14@PHI-
  11. 15@TEN-
  12. 16CIN-
  13. 17@CLE-
  14. 18JAX-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB23, 9/15: QB21, 9/20: QB27, 9/22: QB26, 9/24: QB26, 9/27: QB25, 9/29: QB19, 10/1: QB19, 10/4: QB17, 10/6: QB23, 10/8: QB22, 10/11: QB22

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB20J.LoveGB15.0
  2. QB21S.DarnoldSEA14.8
  3. QB22D.JonesIND14.4
  4. QB23G.SmithNYJ14.4
  5. QB24K.MurrayMIN14.4
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him A.Richardson
TEAM
Colts · rating −0.6, 19th
LAST WEEK
at WAS · 9.9 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score