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SEA

SEAHAWKS · QB · #14

Sam Darnold

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM · Fox

14.8

floor 8.2 · ceiling 21.2 · half PPR

QB21Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM · Fox

14.8

8.2 to 21.2

QB21
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 14.8
  • Floor 8.2
  • Ceiling 21.2

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 14.8Half PPR 14.8PPR 14.86-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 30.8PASS YDS 227PASS TD 1.3INT 0.3RUSH 2.1 · 4RUSH TD 0.0

Std 14.8 · Half 14.8 · PPR 14.8. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON DARNOLD, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 14.7, range 9.3 to 21.6, scored 0.5
  • Week 2: no projection on record
  • Week 3: projected 6.5, range 0.9 to 16.0, scored 27.7
  • Week 4: projected 13.7, range 8.1 to 20.6, scored 13.3
  • Week 5: projected 14.8, range 8.2 to 21.2, result not published yet
  • Week 11: bye
1 of 3 Inside the band +2.2 Mean error +21.1, Week 3 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

1 of 3 inside the band · mean error +2.2. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 5SF14.8
  2. 6@DEN-
  3. 7KC-
  4. 8CHI-
  5. 9ARI-
  6. 10@LV-
  7. 11BYEno game
  8. 12@SF-
  9. 13DAL-
  10. 14NYG-
  11. 15@PHI-
  12. 16LA-
  13. 17@CAR-
  14. 18@LA-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB26, 9/15: QB23, 9/20: not ranked, 9/22: QB38, 9/24: QB38, 9/27: QB36, 9/29: QB32, 10/1: QB32, 10/4: QB30, 10/6: QB22, 10/8: QB21, 10/11: QB21

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB19K.CousinsLV15.2
  2. QB20J.LoveGB15.0
  3. QB21S.DarnoldSEA14.8
  4. QB22D.JonesIND14.4
  5. QB23K.MurrayMIN14.4
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him D.Lock
TEAM
Seahawks · rating +3.6, 4th
LAST WEEK
vs LAC · 13.3 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 4:19 PM ET · run 2026-05-reprice-6250de89 · scored weekly against the official box score