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MIA

DOLPHINS · QB · #2

Malik Willis

bye Week 6 Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs CIN · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

14.4

floor 7.0 · ceiling 20.6 · half PPR

QB25Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs CIN · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

14.4

7.0 to 20.6

QB25
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 14.4
  • Floor 7.0
  • Ceiling 20.6

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 14.4Half PPR 14.4PPR 14.46-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 26.8PASS YDS 185PASS TD 0.9INT 0.5RUSH 4.4 · 19RUSH TD 0.0

Std 14.4 · Half 14.4 · PPR 14.4. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON WILLIS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 11.8, range 4.2 to 16.3, scored 16.7
  • Week 2: projected 12.8, range 6.1 to 20.1, scored 12.5
  • Week 3: projected 13.2, range 7.3 to 20.0, scored 12.0
  • Week 4: projected 15.1, range 8.1 to 23.3, scored 4.5
  • Week 5: projected 14.4, range 7.0 to 20.6, scored 18.9
  • Week 6: bye
3 of 5 Inside the band −0.5 Mean error −10.6, Week 4 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 5 inside the band · mean error −0.5. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5CIN14.4
  2. 6BYEno game
  3. 7@NYJ-
  4. 8NE-
  5. 9DET-
  6. 10@IND-
  7. 11@BUF-
  8. 12NYJ-
  9. 13@DEN-
  10. 14CHI-
  11. 15@GB-
  12. 16LAC-
  13. 17BUF-
  14. 18@NE-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB41, 9/15: QB37, 9/20: QB29, 9/22: QB28, 9/24: QB28, 9/27: QB27, 9/29: QB21, 10/1: QB21, 10/4: QB19, 10/6: QB26, 10/8: QB25, 10/11: QB25

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB23G.SmithNYJ14.4
  2. QB24K.MurrayMIN14.4
  3. QB25M.WillisMIA14.4
  4. QB26C.WardTEN14.0
  5. QB27J.WinstonNYG13.5
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him K.McCord
TEAM
Dolphins · rating −1.4, 22nd
LAST WEEK
at MIN · 4.5 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score