sporacle

↑↓move ↵open escclose Players, teams and this week's games · type a position like "rb" for the list

Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.

PUBLISHED EVIDENCE · 2026

Week 2

WEEKGAMEOUR CALL, AT KICKOFFRESULTVERDICTMARGIN ERRORBRIER
2 DET Lions at BUF Bills BUF 65% BUF by 6 DET 31 · BUF 41 Hit 65% +4 0.121
2 CAR Panthers at ATL Falcons ATL 58% ATL by 2 CAR 34 · ATL 3 Miss 58% -33 0.334
2 CIN Bengals at HOU Texans HOU 53% HOU by 1 CIN 20 · HOU 6 Miss 53% -15 0.285
2 CLE Browns at TB Buccaneers TB 58% TB by 4 CLE 23 · TB 19 Miss 58% -8 0.339
2 GB Packers at NYJ Jets GB 62% GB by 6 GB 20 · NYJ 17 Hit 62% -3 0.144
2 MIN Vikings at CHI Bears CHI 56% CHI by 2 MIN 9 · CHI 3 Miss 56% -8 0.316
2 NO Saints at BAL Ravens BAL 63% BAL by 7 NO 24 · BAL 17 Miss 63% -14 0.402
2 PHI Eagles at TEN Titans PHI 57% PHI by 3 PHI 24 · TEN 20 Hit 57% +1 0.187
2 PIT Steelers at NE Patriots NE 61% NE by 4 PIT 3 · NE 20 Hit 61% +13 0.155
2 JAX Jaguars at DEN Broncos DEN 54% DEN by 2 JAX 13 · DEN 20 Hit 54% +5 0.210
2 LV Raiders at LAC Chargers LAC 60% LAC by 5 LV 26 · LAC 14 Miss 60% -17 0.358
2 MIA Dolphins at SF 49ers SF 65% SF by 6 MIA 13 · SF 35 Hit 65% +17 0.123
2 SEA Seahawks at ARI Cardinals SEA 57% SEA by 3 SEA 31 · ARI 7 Hit 57% +21 0.184
2 WAS Commanders at DAL Cowboys DAL 58% DAL by 2 WAS 20 · DAL 37 Hit 58% +15 0.173
2 IND Colts at KC Chiefs KC 52% KC by 1 IND 30 · KC 33 Hit 52% +3 0.234
2 NYG Giants at LA Rams LA 61% LA by 4 NYG 6 · LA 28 Hit 61% +18 0.153

16 calls · export CSV · the published artifact

Margin error: final margin minus our median, from the side we called. Brier per game: (confidence − outcome)². ✎ is a dated correction; the call itself is never edited.

DET at BUF BUF 65% · by 6 Hit
DET 31 · BUF 41 err +4 Brier 0.121
CAR at ATL ATL 58% · by 2 Miss
CAR 34 · ATL 3 err -33 Brier 0.334
CIN at HOU HOU 53% · by 1 Miss
CIN 20 · HOU 6 err -15 Brier 0.285
CLE at TB TB 58% · by 4 Miss
CLE 23 · TB 19 err -8 Brier 0.339
GB at NYJ GB 62% · by 6 Hit
GB 20 · NYJ 17 err -3 Brier 0.144
MIN at CHI CHI 56% · by 2 Miss
MIN 9 · CHI 3 err -8 Brier 0.316
NO at BAL BAL 63% · by 7 Miss
NO 24 · BAL 17 err -14 Brier 0.402
PHI at TEN PHI 57% · by 3 Hit
PHI 24 · TEN 20 err +1 Brier 0.187
PIT at NE NE 61% · by 4 Hit
PIT 3 · NE 20 err +13 Brier 0.155
JAX at DEN DEN 54% · by 2 Hit
JAX 13 · DEN 20 err +5 Brier 0.210
LV at LAC LAC 60% · by 5 Miss
LV 26 · LAC 14 err -17 Brier 0.358
MIA at SF SF 65% · by 6 Hit
MIA 13 · SF 35 err +17 Brier 0.123
SEA at ARI SEA 57% · by 3 Hit
SEA 31 · ARI 7 err +21 Brier 0.184
WAS at DAL DAL 58% · by 2 Hit
WAS 20 · DAL 37 err +15 Brier 0.173
IND at KC KC 52% · by 1 Hit
IND 30 · KC 33 err +3 Brier 0.234
NYG at LA LA 61% · by 4 Hit
NYG 6 · LA 28 err +18 Brier 0.153

16 calls · export CSV

Err: final margin minus our median. Brier: (confidence − outcome)². Calls are never edited after kickoff.

HOW THIS PAGE WORKS

A published call is never edited or deleted after kickoff. A correction is a dated note next to the original. Every row keeps its Hit, Miss, Pending or Not counted so you can check us; the Brier score checks both the outcome and the confidence we stated. A coin flip with the right lean counts as a hit and as a miss the same way; a tie is a Miss, because we never call one.

Scored Sun Oct 11 · 5:36 PM ET · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6

Scored Sun Oct 11 · run 2026-05-refresh-a83858b6