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CLE

BROWNS · WR · #1

KC Concepcion

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

9.2

floor 4.0 · ceiling 15.1 · half PPR

WR15Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

9.2

4.0 to 15.1

WR15
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 9.2
  • Floor 4.0
  • Ceiling 15.1

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 7.3Half PPR 9.2PPR 11.2
TGT 5.9REC 4.0 · 40REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.4 · 1RUSH TD 0.0

Std 7.3 · Half 9.2 · PPR 11.2. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON CONCEPCION, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 8.0, range 5.2 to 11.0, scored 7.8
  • Week 2: projected 8.8, range 4.2 to 15.7, scored 5.2
  • Week 3: projected 8.5, range 5.0 to 13.2, scored 1.9
  • Week 4: projected 9.1, range 4.8 to 14.2, scored 8.9
  • Week 5: projected 9.2, range 4.0 to 15.1, scored 1.0
  • Week 11: bye
3 of 5 Inside the band −3.8 Mean error −8.2, Week 5 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 5 inside the band · mean error −3.8. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5@NYJ9.2
  2. 6BAL-
  3. 7@TEN-
  4. 8@PIT-
  5. 9@NO-
  6. 10HOU-
  7. 11BYEno game
  8. 12LV-
  9. 13CIN-
  10. 14ATL-
  11. 15@NYG-
  12. 16@BAL-
  13. 17IND-
  14. 18@CIN-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR32, 9/15: WR30, 9/20: WR21, 9/22: WR22, 9/24: WR22, 9/27: WR21, 9/29: WR19, 10/1: WR19, 10/6: WR15, 10/8: WR15, 10/11: WR15

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 5

  1. WR13Z.FlowersBAL9.6
  2. WR14D.AdamsLA9.4
  3. WR15K.ConcepcionCLE9.2
  4. WR16C.WatsonGB9.2
  5. WR17M.NabersNYG9.2
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR2 · behind him J.Jeudy
TEAM
Browns · rating −4.2, 28th
LAST WEEK
vs PIT · 8.9 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score