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NE

PATRIOTS · WR · #86

Efton Chism III

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

3.5

floor 1.4 · ceiling 8.3 · half PPR

WR72▲ 0.3 since TuesdayNot published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

3.5

1.4 to 8.3

WR72
▲ 0.3 since TueNot published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 3.5
  • Floor 1.4
  • Ceiling 8.3

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 2.7Half PPR 3.5PPR 4.3
TGT 2.6REC 1.2 · 16REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 2.7 · Half 3.5 · PPR 4.3. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON CHISM III, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 2.3, range 0.7 to 4.6, no stat line
  • Week 2: no projection on record
  • Week 3: projected 1.7, range 0.1 to 4.6, scored 1.2
  • Week 4: projected 2.0, range 0.3 to 5.8, scored 11.2
  • Week 5: projected 3.5, range 1.4 to 8.3, scored 8.4
  • Week 11: bye
1 of 3 Inside the band +4.6 Mean error +9.2, Week 4 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

1 of 3 inside the band · mean error +4.6. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5LV3.5
  2. 6NYJ-
  3. 7@CHI-
  4. 8@MIA-
  5. 9GB-
  6. 10@DET-
  7. 11BYEno game
  8. 12@LAC-
  9. 13BUF-
  10. 14MIN-
  11. 15@KC-
  12. 16@NYJ-
  13. 17DEN-
  14. 18MIA-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR142, 9/15: WR116, 9/20: not ranked, 9/22: WR123, 9/24: WR122, 9/27: WR121, 9/29: WR112, 10/1: WR110, 10/4: WR108, 10/6: WR87, 10/8: WR87, 10/11: WR72

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 5

  1. WR70G.BernardPIT3.6
  2. WR71C.BellMIA3.5
  3. WR72E.Chism IIINE3.5
  4. WR73D.BrownWAS3.5
  5. WR74T.JohnsonTB3.5
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR3 · behind him K.Williams
TEAM
Patriots · rating −1.3, 21st
LAST WEEK
at BUF · 11.2 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score