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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.
BUF

BILLS · TE · #86

Dalton Kincaid

bye Week 7 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at LA · Mon 8:15 PM · ESPN

6.8

floor 2.4 · ceiling 11.5 · half PPR

TE14Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at LA · Mon 8:15 PM · ESPN

6.8

2.4 to 11.5

TE14
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 6.8
  • Floor 2.4
  • Ceiling 11.5

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 5.2Half PPR 6.8PPR 8.3
TGT 4.7REC 3.2 · 37REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 5.2 · Half 6.8 · PPR 8.3. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON KINCAID, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 4.3, range 1.3 to 9.4, scored 15.5
  • Week 2: projected 3.3, range 1.1 to 8.1, scored 19.0
  • Week 3: projected 6.0, range 2.8 to 10.8, scored 4.8
  • Week 4: projected 6.7, range 3.1 to 12.0, scored 1.2
  • Week 5: projected 6.8, range 2.4 to 11.5, not yet played
  • Week 7: bye
1 of 4 Inside the band +5.0 Mean error +15.7, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

1 of 4 inside the band · mean error +5.0. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 5@LA6.8
  2. 6@LV-
  3. 7BYEno game
  4. 8BAL-
  5. 9@MIN-
  6. 10@NYJ-
  7. 11MIA-
  8. 12KC-
  9. 13@NE-
  10. 14@GB-
  11. 15CHI-
  12. 16@DEN-
  13. 17@MIA-
  14. 18NYJ-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: TE38, 9/15: TE47, 9/22: TE15, 9/24: TE16, 9/27: TE16, 9/29: TE14, 10/1: TE14, 10/4: TE14, 10/6: TE14, 10/8: TE14, 10/11: TE14

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT TE, WEEK 5

  1. TE12M.MayerLV7.2
  2. TE13A.BarnerSEA6.9
  3. TE14D.KincaidBUF6.8
  4. TE15B.StrangeJAX6.7
  5. TE16D.SchultzHOU6.6
Full TE rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
TE1 · behind him D.Knox
TEAM
Bills · rating +6.1, 1st
LAST WEEK
vs NE · 1.2 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 7:51 PM ET · run 2026-05-reprice-93f7db20 · scored weekly against the official box score