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HOU

TEXANS · WR · #12

Nico Collins

bye Week 8 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at TEN · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

10.3

floor 4.5 · ceiling 15.8 · half PPR

WR11Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at TEN · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

10.3

4.5 to 15.8

WR11
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 10.3
  • Floor 4.5
  • Ceiling 15.8

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 8.1Half PPR 10.3PPR 12.4
TGT 6.7REC 4.4 · 57REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 8.1 · Half 10.3 · PPR 12.4. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON COLLINS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 11.2, range 4.6 to 16.9, scored 17.7
  • Week 2: no projection on record
  • Week 3: no projection on record
  • Week 4: projected 10.3, range 4.6 to 15.2, scored 27.3
  • Week 5: projected 10.3, range 4.5 to 15.8, scored 8.1
  • Week 8: bye
1 of 3 Inside the band +7.1 Mean error +17.0, Week 4 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

1 of 3 inside the band · mean error +7.1. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5@TEN10.3
  2. 6@JAX-
  3. 7NYG-
  4. 8BYEno game
  5. 9@LAC-
  6. 10@CLE-
  7. 11IND-
  8. 12BAL-
  9. 13@PIT-
  10. 14@WAS-
  11. 15JAX-
  12. 16@PHI-
  13. 17@GB-
  14. 18TEN-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR11, 9/15: WR14, 9/20: not ranked, 9/22: WR8, 9/24: WR8, 9/27: not ranked, 9/29: WR11, 10/1: WR11, 10/4: WR10, 10/6: WR13, 10/8: WR13, 10/11: WR11

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 5

  1. WR9P.WashingtonJAX10.4
  2. WR10J.ChaseCIN10.3
  3. WR11N.CollinsHOU10.3
  4. WR12T.HigginsCIN9.9
  5. WR13Z.FlowersBAL9.6
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR1 · behind him X.Hutchinson
TEAM
Texans · rating +2.2, 11th
LAST WEEK
vs DAL · 27.3 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score