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JAX

JAGUARS · TE · #87

Nate Boerkircher

bye Week 7 Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs PHI · Sun 9:30 AM · NFL Net

1.8

floor 0.3 · ceiling 4.7 · half PPR

TE60Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs PHI · Sun 9:30 AM · NFL Net

1.8

0.3 to 4.7

TE60
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 1.8
  • Floor 0.3
  • Ceiling 4.7

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 1.3Half PPR 1.8PPR 2.2
TGT 1.4REC 1.0 · 10REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 1.3 · Half 1.8 · PPR 2.2. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON BOERKIRCHER, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 4.6, range 2.6 to 5.9, scored 1.4
  • Week 2: projected 2.8, range 0.9 to 6.8, scored 0.0
  • Week 3: projected 2.0, range 0.1 to 3.8, scored 0.0
  • Week 4: projected 2.1, range 0.6 to 4.9, scored 2.0
  • Week 5: projected 1.8, range 0.3 to 4.7, scored 3.0
  • Week 7: bye
2 of 5 Inside the band −1.3 Mean error −3.2, Week 1 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

2 of 5 inside the band · mean error −1.3. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5PHI1.8
  2. 6HOU-
  3. 7BYEno game
  4. 8IND-
  5. 9@BAL-
  6. 10@TEN-
  7. 11@NYG-
  8. 12TEN-
  9. 13@CHI-
  10. 14PIT-
  11. 15@HOU-
  12. 16@DAL-
  13. 17WAS-
  14. 18@IND-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: TE31, 9/15: TE33, 9/20: TE42, 9/22: TE60, 9/24: TE58, 9/27: TE55, 9/29: TE57, 10/1: TE55, 10/4: TE55, 10/6: TE58, 10/8: TE58, 10/11: TE60

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT TE, WEEK 5

  1. TE58C.StoverHOU1.9
  2. TE59B.Spann-FordDAL1.9
  3. TE60N.BoerkircherJAX1.8
  4. TE61P.DurhamTB1.8
  5. TE62A.HooperATL1.7
Full TE rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
TE2 · behind him Q.Morris
TEAM
Jaguars · rating +0.7, 14th
LAST WEEK
at CIN · 2.0 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 9:27 AM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-686d1ad7 · scored weekly against the official box score