49ERS · RB · #26
Kaelon Black
WEEK 5 · at SEA · Sun 4:25 PM · Fox
4.0
floor 1.2 · ceiling 7.4 · half PPR
WEEK 5 · at SEA · Sun 4:25 PM · Fox
4.0
1.2 to 7.4
RB50HOW SURE, WEEK 5
- Projection 4.0
- Floor 1.2
- Ceiling 7.4
Not published yet.
Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.
THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT
Std 3.7 · Half 4.0 · PPR 4.3. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.
OUR RECORD ON BLACK, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL
- Week 1: projected 5.7, range 2.4 to 11.4, scored 7.5
- Week 2: projected 9.2, range 3.1 to 16.9, scored 2.5
- Week 3: projected 7.1, range 2.8 to 12.7, scored 1.7
- Week 4: projected 3.3, range 0.7 to 7.3, scored 1.3
- Week 5: projected 4.0, range 1.2 to 7.4, result not published yet
- Week 8: bye
Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.
2 of 4 inside the band · mean error −3.0. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.
REST OF SEASON
13 games left
- 5@SEA4.0
- 6WAS-
- 7@ATL-
- 8BYEno game
- 9LV-
- 10@DAL-
- 11MIN-
- 12SEA-
- 13@NYG-
- 14LA-
- 15@LAC-
- 16@KC-
- 17PHI-
- 18@ARI-
This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.
RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN
9/8: RB54, 9/15: RB46, 9/20: RB26, 9/22: RB34, 9/24: RB33, 9/27: RB33, 9/29: RB55, 10/1: RB55, 10/4: RB52, 10/6: RB54, 10/8: RB53, 10/11: RB50
One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.
AROUND HIM AT RB, WEEK 5
- RB48T.JohnsonBUF4.0
- RB49N.HarrisNYG4.0
- RB50K.BlackSF4.0
- RB51M.Washington Jr.LV3.3
- RB52R.SandersCLE3.3
CONTEXT
- DEPTH CHART
- RB2 · behind him J.James
- TEAM
- 49ers · rating +3.4, 6th
- THIS WEEK'S GAME
- SF 43% at SEA · open the game page
- LAST WEEK
- vs DEN · 1.3 pts
Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 4:19 PM ET · run 2026-05-reprice-6250de89 · scored weekly against the official box score