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CHI

BEARS · WR · #10

Luther Burden III

bye Week 10 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at GB · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

8.8

floor 3.6 · ceiling 15.8 · half PPR

WR20Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at GB · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

8.8

3.6 to 15.8

WR20
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 8.8
  • Floor 3.6
  • Ceiling 15.8

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 6.8Half PPR 8.8PPR 10.9
TGT 6.4REC 4.2 · 47REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.1 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 6.8 · Half 8.8 · PPR 10.9. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON BURDEN III, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 7.5, range 3.0 to 13.9, scored 9.0
  • Week 2: projected 8.2, range 3.2 to 14.1, scored 4.7
  • Week 3: projected 7.7, range 3.1 to 12.6, scored 16.3
  • Week 4: projected 8.9, range 3.9 to 15.0, scored 9.4
  • Week 5: projected 8.8, range 3.6 to 15.8, scored 6.9
  • Week 10: bye
4 of 5 Inside the band +1.0 Mean error +8.6, Week 3 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

4 of 5 inside the band · mean error +1.0. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5@GB8.8
  2. 6@ATL-
  3. 7NE-
  4. 8@SEA-
  5. 9TB-
  6. 10BYEno game
  7. 11NO-
  8. 12@DET-
  9. 13JAX-
  10. 14@MIA-
  11. 15@BUF-
  12. 16GB-
  13. 17DET-
  14. 18@MIN-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR37, 9/15: WR39, 9/20: WR26, 9/22: WR28, 9/24: WR28, 9/27: WR26, 9/28: WR26, 9/29: WR21, 10/1: WR21, 10/4: WR20, 10/6: WR20, 10/8: WR20, 10/11: WR20

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 5

  1. WR18G.WilsonNYJ9.2
  2. WR19G.PickensDAL9.1
  3. WR20L.Burden IIICHI8.8
  4. WR21D.MetcalfPIT8.8
  5. WR22K.ShakirBUF8.7
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR2 · behind him K.Raymond
TEAM
Bears · rating +0.6, 15th
LAST WEEK
vs NYJ · 9.4 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 12:56 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-833c5104 · scored weekly against the official box score