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JAX

JAGUARS · WR · #7

Brian Thomas Jr.

bye Week 7 Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs PHI · Sun 9:30 AM · NFL Net

4.8

floor 1.4 · ceiling 9.5 · half PPR

WR58Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs PHI · Sun 9:30 AM · NFL Net

4.8

1.4 to 9.5

WR58
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 4.8
  • Floor 1.4
  • Ceiling 9.5

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 3.5Half PPR 4.8PPR 6.1
TGT 4.1REC 2.3 · 30REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 3.5 · Half 4.8 · PPR 6.1. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON THOMAS JR., PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 6.8, range 2.5 to 12.7, scored 5.5
  • Week 2: projected 4.8, range 1.4 to 10.0, scored 5.5
  • Week 3: projected 5.7, range 1.6 to 9.2, scored 1.3
  • Week 4: projected 4.6, range 1.4 to 9.0, scored 8.7
  • Week 5: projected 4.8, range 1.4 to 9.5, scored 0.0
  • Week 7: bye
3 of 5 Inside the band −1.1 Mean error −4.8, Week 5 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 5 inside the band · mean error −1.1. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5PHI4.8
  2. 6HOU-
  3. 7BYEno game
  4. 8IND-
  5. 9@BAL-
  6. 10@TEN-
  7. 11@NYG-
  8. 12TEN-
  9. 13@CHI-
  10. 14PIT-
  11. 15@HOU-
  12. 16@DAL-
  13. 17WAS-
  14. 18@IND-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR42, 9/15: WR34, 9/20: WR61, 9/22: WR49, 9/24: WR49, 9/27: WR47, 9/29: WR65, 10/1: WR65, 10/4: WR62, 10/6: WR63, 10/8: WR63, 10/11: WR58

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 5

  1. WR56L.TreadwellIND4.8
  2. WR57C.KuppSEA4.8
  3. WR58B.Thomas Jr.JAX4.8
  4. WR59L.McConkeyLAC4.6
  5. WR60M.LemonPHI4.5
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR3 · behind him J.Cameron
TEAM
Jaguars · rating +0.7, 14th
LAST WEEK
at CIN · 8.7 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 9:27 AM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-686d1ad7 · scored weekly against the official box score