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DAL

COWBOYS · TE · #87

Jake Ferguson

bye Week 14 Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs TB · Thu 8:15 PM · Prime Video

4.3

floor 1.6 · ceiling 8.6 · half PPR

TE25Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs TB · Thu 8:15 PM · Prime Video

4.3

1.6 to 8.6

TE25
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 4.3
  • Floor 1.6
  • Ceiling 8.6

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 3.1Half PPR 4.3PPR 5.5
TGT 3.6REC 2.5 · 23REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 3.1 · Half 4.3 · PPR 5.5. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON FERGUSON, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 4.7, range 0.9 to 8.5, scored 1.6
  • Week 2: projected 4.7, range 1.6 to 9.5, scored 18.3
  • Week 3: projected 4.3, range 1.6 to 8.3, scored 9.8
  • Week 4: projected 4.7, range 1.8 to 8.7, scored 2.6
  • Week 5: projected 4.3, range 1.6 to 8.6, scored 3.4
  • Week 14: bye
3 of 5 Inside the band +2.6 Mean error +13.6, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 5 inside the band · mean error +2.6. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

12 games left

  1. 5TB4.3
  2. 6@GB-
  3. 7@PHI-
  4. 8ARI-
  5. 9@IND-
  6. 10SF-
  7. 11TEN-
  8. 12PHI-
  9. 13@SEA-
  10. 14BYEno game
  11. 15@LA-
  12. 16JAX-
  13. 17NYG-
  14. 18@WAS-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: TE26, 9/15: TE23, 9/20: TE23, 9/22: TE24, 9/24: TE24, 9/27: TE23, 9/29: TE24, 10/1: TE24, 10/4: TE23, 10/6: TE25, 10/8: TE25

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT TE, WEEK 5

  1. TE23M.GesickiCIN4.5
  2. TE24D.GoedertPHI4.5
  3. TE25J.FergusonDAL4.3
  4. TE26T.HigbeeLA4.2
  5. TE27C.OkonkwoWAS4.0
Full TE rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
TE1 · behind him B.Spann-Ford
TEAM
Cowboys · rating −0.6, 20th
LAST WEEK
at HOU · 2.6 pts

Week 5 · published Thu Oct 8 · 8:11 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-fbe86ad2 · scored weekly against the official box score