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DET

LIONS · WR · #14

Amon-Ra St. Brown

bye Week 6 Healthy

WEEK 5 · at ARI · Sun 4:25 PM · Fox

13.3

floor 7.8 · ceiling 19.4 · half PPR

WR4Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · at ARI · Sun 4:25 PM · Fox

13.3

7.8 to 19.4

WR4
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 13.3
  • Floor 7.8
  • Ceiling 19.4

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 10.3Half PPR 13.3PPR 16.3
TGT 9.2REC 6.0 · 71REC TD 0.1RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 10.3 · Half 13.3 · PPR 16.3. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON ST. BROWN, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 12.1, range 7.2 to 18.4, scored 23.7
  • Week 2: projected 11.6, range 7.1 to 16.4, scored 30.7
  • Week 3: projected 13.6, range 7.6 to 19.5, scored 9.9
  • Week 4: projected 13.2, range 7.4 to 18.9, scored 11.5
  • Week 5: projected 13.3, range 7.8 to 19.4, result not published yet
  • Week 6: bye
2 of 4 Inside the band +6.3 Mean error +19.1, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

2 of 4 inside the band · mean error +6.3. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 5@ARI13.3
  2. 6BYEno game
  3. 7GB-
  4. 8MIN-
  5. 9@MIA-
  6. 10NE-
  7. 11TB-
  8. 12CHI-
  9. 13@ATL-
  10. 14TEN-
  11. 15@MIN-
  12. 16NYG-
  13. 17@CHI-
  14. 18@GB-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR5, 9/15: WR7, 9/22: WR3, 9/24: WR3, 9/27: WR2, 9/29: WR4, 10/1: WR4, 10/4: WR4, 10/6: WR4, 10/8: WR4, 10/11: WR4

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 5

  1. WR2C.OlaveNO13.6
  2. WR3J.Smith-NjigbaSEA13.5
  3. WR4A.St. BrownDET13.3
  4. WR5C.LambDAL11.8
  5. WR6J.WilliamsDET11.8
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR1 · behind him J.Williams
TEAM
Lions · rating +5.5, 3rd
LAST WEEK
at CAR · 11.5 pts

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 4:19 PM ET · run 2026-05-reprice-6250de89 · scored weekly against the official box score