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SEA

SEAHAWKS · QB · #2

Drew Lock

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM · Fox

6.8

floor 0.9 · ceiling 15.8 · half PPR

QB35Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 5 · vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM · Fox

6.8

0.9 to 15.8

QB35
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 5

  • Projection 6.8
  • Floor 0.9
  • Ceiling 15.8

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 6.8Half PPR 6.8PPR 6.86-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 8.7PASS YDS 70PASS TD 0.4INT 0.0RUSH 1.7 · 4RUSH TD 0.0

Std 6.8 · Half 6.8 · PPR 6.8. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON LOCK, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 0.1, range 0.0 to 6.7, scored 12.8
  • Week 2: projected 11.5, range 2.8 to 18.0, scored 21.4
  • Week 3: projected 11.9, range 3.9 to 18.1, no stat line
  • Week 4: projected 6.1, range 0.7 to 14.9, no stat line
  • Week 5: projected 6.8, range 0.9 to 15.8, result not published yet
  • Week 11: bye
0 of 2 Inside the band +11.3 Mean error +12.7, Week 1 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

0 of 2 inside the band · mean error +11.3. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 5SF6.8
  2. 6@DEN-
  3. 7KC-
  4. 8CHI-
  5. 9ARI-
  6. 10@LV-
  7. 11BYEno game
  8. 12@SF-
  9. 13DAL-
  10. 14NYG-
  11. 15@PHI-
  12. 16LA-
  13. 17@CAR-
  14. 18@LA-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB76, 9/15: QB68, 9/20: QB31, 9/22: QB32, 9/24: QB32, 9/27: QB30, 9/29: QB37, 10/1: QB37, 10/4: QB34, 10/6: QB37, 10/8: QB36, 10/11: QB35

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 5

  1. QB33T.BagentCHI10.5
  2. QB34C.RushATL7.3
  3. QB35D.LockSEA6.8
  4. QB36S.SandersCLE5.1
  5. QB37C.KeenumCHI3.9
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB2 · behind him J.Milroe
TEAM
Seahawks · rating +3.6, 4th
LAST WEEK
vs LAC · no stat line

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 4:19 PM ET · run 2026-05-reprice-6250de89 · scored weekly against the official box score